Prop971 Research · The registry, read quarterly
Dubai and Abu Dhabi property market research
Independent research on the Dubai and Abu Dhabi housing markets, built from registered sales, leases and project records. Every figure carries its source, its definition and a download. Free to read, cite and embed: no forms, no sign-up.
Quarterly report · Issue 01
Real Estate Market Balance: Dubai and Abu Dhabi, Q3 2026
How much is transacting, what prices and rents are doing, how much supply is coming and whether activity keeps pace with it, scored on the Prop971 Market Balance Index.
Dubai44
Abu Dhabi59
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Indicators
Each indicator has its own page: chart, full table since 2019, definition, source, citation and embed code. Link to the exact number you use.
01Dubai Market Balance Indexout of 100, Dubai residential, Q3 2026 (50 = neutral)4402Dubai residential sales volume and valueregistered residential sales in Dubai, Q3 2026 (-35.8% y/y)32,38503Dubai median price per sq ftmedian registered price per sq ft, Dubai, Q3 2026 (-2.0% y/y)AED 1,68504Dubai off-plan share of salesof Dubai residential sales were off-plan, Q3 202673%05Dubai residential supply pipelineestimated units still to build in 1,559 active Dubai projects368,50206Dubai rents and gross rental yieldsindicative gross apartment yield, Dubai, 12 months to 30 Sep 2026 (3-month EIBOR 4.32%)5.6%07Dubai market breadth and concentrationof Dubai residential sales in the 10 largest areas, Q3 202654.6%08Abu Dhabi property market overviewprovisional Prop971 Market Balance Index, Abu Dhabi, Q3 2026 (50 = neutral)5909Abu Dhabi residential sales volume and valueregistered residential sales in Abu Dhabi, Q3 2026 (-7.8% y/y)6,07010Abu Dhabi median price per sq ftmedian registered price per sq ft, Abu Dhabi, Q3 2026 (+16.6% y/y)AED 1,83711Abu Dhabi off-plan share of salesof Abu Dhabi residential sales were off-plan, Q3 202680%12Abu Dhabi rents and gross rental yieldsindicative gross apartment yield, Abu Dhabi, Q3 2026 (ADREC district averages)5.8%13Abu Dhabi home sales by areaof Abu Dhabi residential sales were in the 10 largest areas, Q3 202687.5%
0132,385registered residential sales in Dubai in Q3 2026-35.8% on Q3 2025; higher than 21 of the 30 quarters since 2019
02AED 56.0bnof residential sales value in Dubai in the quarter-44.7% on Q3 2025; AED 217bn in the first nine months of 2026
03AED 1,685median registered price per sq ft in Dubai-2.0% on Q3 2025; +76% on Q3 2019
0473%of Dubai sales were off-plan, 70% of value77% and 79% a year earlier
0543%of Dubai sales were priced under AED 1 million28% a year earlier; sales above AED 5m were 3.6% of deals and 22% of value
06368,502estimated unfinished units in registered Dubai projects494,269 registered units in 1,559 active projects; 78% in projects under a quarter built
072.35xpipeline-to-absorption ratio for Dubairemaining units to sales in the 12 months to 30 Sep 2026; across the 12 largest pipelines, from 1.9x in Jumeirah Village Circle to 3.8x in Al Yelayiss 1
08+5.0%change in the median Dubai apartment rent over 12 monthsQ3 2026 contracts: median AED 68,000, new AED 73,000 vs renewed AED 64,000
09AED 27.4bnof residential sales value in Abu Dhabi in Q3 2026+31.1% on Q3 2025 from 6,070 sales (-7.8%); ADREC Abu Dhabi City sale index +17.3% y/y
1044 / 59Prop971 Market Balance Index, Dubai / Abu Dhabisix components, 50 = neutral; Abu Dhabi provisional. Dubai: transaction momentum 0, rental momentum 67
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Questions this research answers
- How balanced is the Dubai property market right now?
- How many homes sold in Dubai this quarter, and for how much?
- What is the median price per square foot in Dubai?
- How much of the Dubai market is off-plan?
- How much new housing supply is coming in Dubai, and where?
- Is rental growth keeping pace with prices, and what do rents yield?
- Are Dubai sales becoming more concentrated in a few areas?
- How balanced is the Abu Dhabi property market?
- How many homes sold in Abu Dhabi, and how does that compare with 2019?
- What is the median price per square foot in Abu Dhabi?
- How much of the Abu Dhabi market is off-plan, and how much is paid in cash?
- What do Abu Dhabi apartments rent for, and what do they yield?
- Which Abu Dhabi areas sell the most homes?
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Cite, embed, download
Charts, tables and figures may be reproduced with attribution to Prop971 Research and a link to www.prop971.com.
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